Long-Range Forecasting

Avalon Foresight

Our long-range forecasting tool, Avalon Foresight™, is valuable in guiding investment decisions. These multi-year forecasting scenarios reveal the long-term implications of various investment strategies. Avalon builds these forecasts using decades of real-world fundraising experience, different investment levels over time, and macroeconomic conditions. And we base our assumptions on real-life metrics from your data.

We recommend investment options that are most closely aligned with your goals—and we don’t always recommend the largest investment. Avalon’s goal is to help our clients achieve smart growth with strategies they can sustain over time. For example, a steady growth scenario might show steady increases in gross and net revenue while an aggressive investment scenario shows a sharper increase in revenue, but net revenue takes a dive. If your organization cannot sustain that much of a hit in net, we won’t make that recommendation.

Chesapeake Bay Foundation

Adding Value to a Donor File

We created a long-range forecast, with an emphasis on rebuilding a high-quality, lower-quantity donor base—putting CBF on the path to revenue stability, despite a shrinking file size. CBF didn’t have as many donors coming in, but the donors who joined were more committed and valuable.

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